Newton leans heavily Republican by roughly 32 points: about 34% of voters vote Democratic and 66% Republican.
About 69% of adults in Newton typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Newton, ~23% vote Democratic, ~46% Republican, and ~31% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Newton compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Newton leans more Republican than 3 of 33 neighbors.
Newton runs about 18 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Newton. The north side runs the most Democratic (D+17) and the east side runs the most Republican (R+76), a spread of about 94 points.
Why Newton leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Newton, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 8% of adults in Newton hold a bachelor's degree, about 18 points below the Texas average of 26%. Car-dependent areas vote Republican, and about 85% of residents in Newton drive to work alone, above 81% of cities.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Newton, TX sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Newton looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Newton is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 42%, about 11 points below the Texas average of 54%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Pine Grove, TX R+80
- Buckhorn, TX R+73
- Shanklerville, TX R+37
- Mattox, TX R+7
- Bon Wier, TX R+72
- Holly Springs, TX R+37
- Wiergate, TX R+48
- Roganville, TX R+72
- Bon Ami, TX R+77
Cities with Similar Populations
- Babson Park, FL R+51
- Cayucos, CA D+14
- Haynesville, LA Even
- Bristolville, OH R+50
- Coats Crossroads, NC R+32
- Clarksboro, NJ R+10
- Whitehall, MT R+54
- Ashville, NY R+30
- Crescent, PA R+13
- Freer, TX R+28
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.