Newville leans heavily Republican by roughly 34 points: about 33% of voters vote Democratic and 67% Republican.
About 82% of adults in Newville typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Newville, ~27% vote Democratic, ~55% Republican, and ~18% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Newville compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Newville leans more Republican than 58 of 61 neighbors.
Newville runs about 39 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Newville is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Newville. The southeast side runs the most Democratic (D+61) and the north side runs the most Republican (R+38), a spread of about 99 points.
Why Newville leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Newville, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 4% of residents in Newville live in densely developed areas, about 22 points below the Virginia average of 26%. Newville runs against the grain of Virginia, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Newville, VA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Newville looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Newville is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 66%, about 6 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 96% of households in Newville own their home, about 21 points above the U.S. average of 75%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Garysville, VA R+28
- Brandon, VA R+37
- Disputanta, VA R+30
- Spring Grove, VA R+8
- Waverly, VA D+5
- Prince George, VA D+7
- Beechwood Manor, VA R+10
- New Bohemia, VA R+21
- Claremont, VA R+15
- Westover, VA D+35
Cities with Similar Populations
- Adell, WI R+43
- Penn Run, PA R+60
- Green Isle, MN R+52
- Utica, PA R+52
- Ryan, AL R+31
- Mount Lookout, WV R+61
- Faulkner, TX R+80
- Pulaski, MI R+43
- Round Mountain, NV R+70
- Benavides, TX R+2
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.