Spring Grove leans slightly Republican by roughly 8 points: about 46% of voters vote Democratic and 54% Republican.
About 74% of adults in Spring Grove typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Spring Grove, ~34% vote Democratic, ~40% Republican, and ~26% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Spring Grove compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Spring Grove leans more Republican than 28 of 61 neighbors.
Spring Grove runs about 14 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Spring Grove is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Spring Grove. The southeast side runs the most Democratic (D+15) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+36), a spread of about 50 points.
Why Spring Grove leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Spring Grove, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Spring Grove votes against the grain of Virginia. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Spring Grove runs about 14 points more Republican. Rural areas vote Republican, and Spring Grove sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 4%, below 87% of cities).
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Spring Grove, VA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Spring Grove looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Spring Grove is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 64%, above 63% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Brandon, VA R+37
- Claremont, VA R+15
- Newville, VA R+33
- Rustic, VA R+16
- Dendron, VA R+10
- Upper Brandon, VA D+20
- Moorings, VA R+11
- Garysville, VA R+28
- Waverly, VA D+5
- Elberon, VA R+14
Cities with Similar Populations
- Mount Zion, VA R+41
- Orbisonia, PA R+66
- Johnson Corner, GA R+72
- Little Birch, WV R+58
- Johns, MS R+69
- Hoosick, NY R+29
- Mount Nebo, WV R+62
- Homer, NE R+53
- Row, OK R+60
- Cowden, IL R+64
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.