Brandon leans heavily Republican by roughly 38 points: about 31% of voters vote Democratic and 69% Republican.
About 79% of adults in Brandon typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Brandon, ~24% vote Democratic, ~55% Republican, and ~21% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Brandon compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Brandon is the most Republican-leaning.
Brandon runs about 43 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Brandon is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Brandon leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Brandon, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 3% of residents in Brandon live in densely developed areas, about 23 points below the Virginia average of 26%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 81% of households in Brandon are family households, above 91% of cities. Brandon runs against the grain of Virginia, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Brandon, VA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Brandon looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Brandon is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 67%, about 7 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 92% of households in Brandon own their home, about 17 points above the U.S. average of 75%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Spring Grove, VA R+8
- Claremont, VA R+15
- Upper Brandon, VA D+20
- Newville, VA R+33
- Garysville, VA R+28
- Rustic, VA R+16
- Westover, VA D+35
- Holdcroft, VA R+17
- Ruthville, VA D+26
- Beechwood Manor, VA R+10
Cities with Similar Populations
- Pascola, MO R+54
- Buford, ND R+73
- Pavia, PA R+75
- Deschutes, OR R+24
- Glen Hope, PA R+63
- Charbonneau, ND R+83
- Brixey, MO R+71
- Messengerville, NY R+37
- Vail, PA R+53
- Miller Dale Colony, SD R+67
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.