Normandy Estates is a true toss-up. About 51% of voters here vote Democratic and 49% Republican.
About 61% of adults in Normandy Estates typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Normandy Estates, ~31% vote Democratic, ~30% Republican, and ~39% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Normandy Estates compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Normandy Estates sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 5 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 12 leaning the other way.
Normandy Estates runs about 14 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while Normandy Estates sits closer to the political middle.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Normandy Estates. The southwest side runs the most Democratic (D+14) and the east side runs the most Republican (R+20), a spread of about 34 points.
Why Normandy Estates leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Normandy Estates, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Normandy Estates votes against the grain of Florida. Florida leans Republican overall, while Normandy Estates runs about 14 points more Democratic.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Normandy Estates, Jacksonville, FL sits above the national average on this measure.
Why turnout in Normandy Estates looks the way it does
Turnout in Normandy Estates sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Crystal Springs, Jacksonville, FL R+3
- Normandy Manor, Jacksonville, FL D+3
- Rolling Hills, Jacksonville, FL R+20
- Herlong, Jacksonville, FL D+22
- Jacksonville Heights West, Jacksonville, FL D+27
- Whitehouse, Jacksonville, FL R+34
- Marietta, Jacksonville, FL R+43
- Hyde Park, Jacksonville, FL D+31
- Jacksonville Farms-Terrace, Jacksonville, FL D+16
- Jacksonville Heights, Jacksonville, FL D+30
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Idlewild South, Charlotte, NC D+41
- North Hampton, St. Louis, MO D+54
- Memorial Northwest, Spring, TX R+20
- 25th Street, Ogden, UT D+13
- Palmer, Newport News, VA D+32
- Federal Hill-Montgomery, Baltimore, MD D+67
- Old Seward-Oceanview, Anchorage, AK D+20
- Sierra Springs, San Antonio, TX D+12
- Greenfield, Pittsburgh, PA D+50
- Standish, Minneapolis, MN D+76
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.