North Middletown leans Republican by roughly 22 points: about 39% of voters vote Democratic and 61% Republican.
About 78% of adults in North Middletown typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in North Middletown, ~30% vote Democratic, ~47% Republican, and ~23% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How North Middletown compares
North Middletown runs about 27 points more Republican than New Jersey as a whole. New Jersey leans Democratic overall, while North Middletown is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within North Middletown. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+27) and the northwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+13), a spread of about 14 points.
Why North Middletown leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for North Middletown, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 85% of residents in North Middletown drive to work alone, about 11 points above the U.S. average of 74%. North Middletown runs against the grain of New Jersey, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; North Middletown, Middletown, NJ sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in North Middletown looks the way it does
Turnout in North Middletown sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Ravine Gardens, Matawan, NJ R+4
- Annandale-on-Hudson, Staten Island, NY R+55
- Prince's Bay, Staten Island, NY R+56
- Huguenot, Staten Island, NY R+60
- Ettingville, Staten Island, NY R+54
- Tottenville, Staten Island, NY R+62
- Great Kills, Staten Island, NY R+51
- Woodrow, Staten Island, NY R+58
- Charleston, Staten Island, NY R+51
- La Mer, Parlin, NJ D+15
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Robbins Blass, Erie, PA D+9
- Villa Cresta, Parkville, MD D+14
- Green Ridge, Scranton, PA D+17
- Harrison West, Columbus, OH D+54
- Globeville, Denver, CO D+51
- Montlake, Seattle, WA D+83
- Oakwood, Knoxville, TN D+32
- Southmoreland, Kansas City, MO D+70
- Breen Hills, Kansas City, MO D+7
- Meadowbrook, Seattle, WA D+74
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Jersey Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.