North Orwell is a Republican stronghold. About 19% of voters here vote Democratic and 81% Republican.
About 72% of adults in North Orwell typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in North Orwell, ~14% vote Democratic, ~59% Republican, and ~27% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How North Orwell compares
Among cities within 25 miles, North Orwell leans more Republican than 100 of 108 neighbors.
North Orwell runs about 60 points more Republican than Pennsylvania as a whole.
Why North Orwell leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for North Orwell, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In North Orwell, about 94% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 22 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 17% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 9 points below the Pennsylvania average of 26%.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; North Orwell, PA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in North Orwell looks the way it does
Turnout in North Orwell sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Rome, PA R+61
- Orwell, PA R+61
- East Athens, PA R+57
- Potterville, PA R+61
- Nichols, NY R+42
- Litchfield, PA R+58
- Warren Center, PA R+60
- Saco, PA R+62
- South Owego, NY R+30
Cities with Similar Populations
- Wallace, CA R+49
- Granville Center, MA R+17
- Saulsbury, WV R+60
- Lake Norden, SD R+70
- San Luis, CO D+41
- Tyrone, KY R+48
- Pactolus, KY R+62
- Harlansburg, PA R+51
- Interlaken, NJ R+11
- Thornton, MI R+45
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Pennsylvania Department of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.