North Tunica leans Democratic by roughly 20 points: about 60% of voters vote Democratic and 40% Republican.
About 58% of adults in North Tunica typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in North Tunica, ~35% vote Democratic, ~23% Republican, and ~42% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How North Tunica compares
Among cities within 25 miles, North Tunica leans more Democratic than 33 of 57 neighbors.
North Tunica runs about 43 points more Democratic than Mississippi as a whole. Mississippi leans Republican overall, while North Tunica is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within North Tunica. The southeast side runs the most Democratic (D+45) and the south side runs the most Republican (R+25), a spread of about 70 points.
Why North Tunica leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for North Tunica, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
North Tunica votes against the grain of Mississippi. Mississippi leans Republican overall, while North Tunica runs about 43 points more Democratic. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 43% of adults in North Tunica have never been married, above 95% of cities.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; North Tunica, MS sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in North Tunica looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. North Tunica is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 7%, about 53 points below the U.S. average of 60%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 52% of households in North Tunica rent, about 27 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 40% of adults in North Tunica report food insecurity, in the top fraction of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Tunica, MS D+23
- Hollywood, MS D+36
- Prichard, MS D+9
- Robinsonville, MS D+54
- Dubbs, MS D+33
- Tunica Resorts, MS D+37
- Cottonville, MS R+35
- Dundee, MS D+24
Cities with Similar Populations
- Yanceyville, VA R+27
- Silver, SC D+31
- Fairview, KS R+54
- Lowrys, SC R+59
- Roneys Store, TN R+72
- Avondale, MO Even
- St. Petersburg, PA R+64
- Folsomville, IN R+55
- Whitaker, IL R+53
- Wet Glaize, MO R+72
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Mississippi Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.