Northcutts Cove is a Republican stronghold. About 13% of voters here vote Democratic and 87% Republican.
About 55% of adults in Northcutts Cove typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Northcutts Cove, ~7% vote Democratic, ~48% Republican, and ~45% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Northcutts Cove compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Northcutts Cove leans more Republican than 62 of 67 neighbors.
Northcutts Cove runs about 43 points more Republican than Tennessee as a whole.
Why Northcutts Cove leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Northcutts Cove, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Northcutts Cove, about 96% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 23 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 15% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 7 points below the Tennessee average of 22%. Rural areas vote Republican, and Northcutts Cove sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 4%, below 82% of cities).
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Northcutts Cove, TN sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Northcutts Cove looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Northcutts Cove is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 82% of adults in Northcutts Cove have completed high school, below 87% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Altamont, TN R+73
- Viola, TN R+72
- Mount Olive, TN R+72
- Beersheba Springs, TN R+71
- Cumberland Heights, TN R+70
- Winton Town, TN R+74
- Mount Zion, TN R+71
- Sainville, TN R+72
- Tarlton, TN R+71
- Sweeton Hill, TN R+66
Cities with Similar Populations
- Dunbar, TN R+72
- Willow Branch, IN R+59
- Roseberry, ID R+51
- Millington, MS D+29
- Nightmute, AK D+22
- Pisgah, WV R+64
- South Bethlehem, NY R+28
- Wilson, MD R+49
- Panton, VT D+22
- Watchorn, OK R+60
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Tennessee Secretary of State, Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.