Tarlton is a Republican stronghold. About 15% of voters here vote Democratic and 85% Republican.
About 45% of adults in Tarlton typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Tarlton, ~7% vote Democratic, ~38% Republican, and ~55% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Tarlton compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Tarlton leans more Republican than 44 of 68 neighbors.
Tarlton runs about 41 points more Republican than Tennessee as a whole.
Why Tarlton leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Tarlton, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 6% of adults in Tarlton hold a bachelor's degree, about 16 points below the Tennessee average of 22%. Rural areas vote Republican, and Tarlton sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 3%, below 90% of cities).
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Tarlton, TN sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Tarlton looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Tarlton is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 49%, about 6 points below the Tennessee average of 56%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 82% of adults in Tarlton have completed high school, below 88% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Irving College, TN R+70
- White Hill, TN R+70
- Beersheba Springs, TN R+71
- Mount Olive, TN R+72
- Cagle, TN R+67
- Northcutts Cove, TN R+73
- Mount Zion, TN R+71
- Cumberland Heights, TN R+70
- Welchland, TN R+70
Cities with Similar Populations
- Youngstown, IN R+33
- Johnsburg, IN R+52
- Jennings, KS R+72
- Kentuckytown, TX R+69
- Middleton, OK R+69
- Non, OK R+71
- North Branch, WI R+38
- Meador, KY R+65
- Tracy, IN R+44
- Covena, GA R+67
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Tennessee Secretary of State, Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.