Nottoway leans heavily Republican by roughly 32 points: about 34% of voters vote Democratic and 66% Republican.
About 85% of adults in Nottoway typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Nottoway, ~29% vote Democratic, ~56% Republican, and ~15% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Nottoway compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Nottoway leans more Republican than 37 of 52 neighbors.
Nottoway runs about 37 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Nottoway is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Nottoway leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Nottoway, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Nottoway votes against the grain of Virginia. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Nottoway runs about 37 points more Republican. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Nottoway sits in the bottom quarter (about 14%, below 82% of cities).
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Nottoway, VA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Nottoway looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Nottoway is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 64%, above 63% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Blackstone, VA D+6
- Darvills, VA R+3
- Crewe, VA R+18
- Victoria, VA R+24
- Burkeville, VA Even
- Kenbridge, VA R+18
- North Wellville, VA R+33
- Spainville, VA R+34
- Dundas, VA R+28
- Fort Mitchell, VA R+26
Cities with Similar Populations
- Vento, KY R+67
- Adrian, PA R+62
- Foster, NY R+18
- State Line, ID R+64
- Cheneyville, LA Even
- Rockhouse, AR R+60
- Terlingua, TX R+34
- Lewisville, MN R+56
- Parma Corners, NY R+22
- Pipersville, WI R+35
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.