Victoria leans Republican by roughly 24 points: about 38% of voters vote Democratic and 62% Republican.
About 62% of adults in Victoria typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Victoria, ~23% vote Democratic, ~38% Republican, and ~39% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Victoria compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Victoria leans more Republican than 28 of 54 neighbors.
Victoria runs about 29 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Victoria is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Victoria. The east side is the most Republican-leaning (R+34) and the west side is the least Republican-leaning (R+6), a spread of about 28 points.
Why Victoria leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Victoria, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 8% of adults in Victoria hold a bachelor's degree, about 21 points below the Virginia average of 29%. Victoria runs against the grain of Virginia, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
High-school completion and voter turnout
Places with low high-school-completion share tend to turn out at a lower rate; Victoria, VA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Victoria looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Victoria is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 32% of households in Victoria rent, above 86% of cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 77% of adults in Victoria have completed high school, below 94% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Lunenburg, VA R+25
- Fort Mitchell, VA R+26
- Kenbridge, VA R+18
- Pleasant Grove, VA R+26
- Nottoway, VA R+31
- Rehoboth, VA R+42
- Green Bay, VA R+19
- Meherrin, VA R+5
- Dundas, VA R+28
- Darvills, VA R+3
Cities with Similar Populations
- Shreve, OH R+61
- Lake Arthur, LA R+72
- Norman Park, GA R+57
- Harwood, MD R+11
- Aragon, GA R+70
- Lakeview, OH R+50
- Bonners Ferry, ID R+62
- Spencerville, OH R+70
- Atwater, OH R+48
- Waldport, OR D+11
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.