Nowata County is a Republican stronghold. About 20% of voters here vote Democratic and 80% Republican.
About 65% of adults in Nowata County typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Nowata County, ~13% vote Democratic, ~52% Republican, and ~35% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Nowata County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Nowata County leans more Republican than 9 of 10 neighbors.
Nowata County runs about 13 points more Republican than Oklahoma as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Nowata County. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+70) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+52), a spread of about 18 points.
Why Nowata County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Nowata County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 17% of adults in Nowata County hold a bachelor's degree, about 12 points below the U.S. average of 28%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 70% of households in Nowata County are family households, above 80% of counties.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Nowata County, OK sits below the national average on this measure.
Why turnout in Nowata County looks the way it does
Turnout in Nowata County sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Washington County, OK R+40
- Montgomery County, KS R+44
- Craig County, OK R+53
- Rogers County, OK R+49
- Labette County, KS R+42
- Mayes County, OK R+56
- Chautauqua County, KS R+73
- Osage County, OK R+39
- Ottawa County, OK R+53
- Tulsa County, OK Even
Counties with Similar Populations
- Todd County, SD D+57
- Jasper County, IL R+61
- St. Clair County, MO R+64
- Beaverhead County, MT R+42
- Charles Mix County, SD R+39
- Clinton County, KY R+72
- Emmet County, IA R+37
- Clear Creek County, CO D+21
- Deer Lodge County, MT R+18
- Pipestone County, MN R+48
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Oklahoma State Election Board, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.