Oak Hills leans heavily Republican by roughly 40 points: about 30% of voters vote Democratic and 70% Republican.
About 56% of adults in Oak Hills typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Oak Hills, ~17% vote Democratic, ~39% Republican, and ~44% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Oak Hills compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Oak Hills leans more Republican than 36 of 38 neighbors.
Oak Hills runs about 59 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Oak Hills is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Oak Hills. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+47) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+31), a spread of about 16 points.
Why Oak Hills leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Oak Hills, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Oak Hills votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 43%, modestly below the California average of 58%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 82% of households in Oak Hills are family households, above 94% of cities. Oak Hills runs against the grain of California, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
High-school completion, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine low high-school-completion share and a heavily developed built environment tend to turn out at a lower rate, as Oak Hills, CA does.
Why turnout in Oak Hills looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Oak Hills is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Hesperia, CA R+23
- Phelan, CA R+39
- Victorville, CA Even
- Adelanto, CA D+8
- Lytle Creek, CA R+27
- Devore Heights, CA R+30
- Cedarpines Park, CA R+20
- Pinon Hills, CA R+41
- Wrightwood, CA R+15
- Crestline, CA R+10
Cities with Similar Populations
- Granite Falls, WA R+17
- Fairview, NC D+4
- Payette, ID R+53
- Creedmoor, NC R+9
- Terrace Heights, WA R+23
- Moscow Mills, MO R+48
- Lusby, MD R+9
- Salem, UT R+60
- South Huntington, NY R+14
- Sumrall, MS R+73
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.