Victorville is a true toss-up. About 50% of voters here vote Democratic and 50% Republican.
About 48% of adults in Victorville typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Victorville, ~24% vote Democratic, ~24% Republican, and ~52% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Victorville compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Victorville sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 25 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 2 leaning the other way.
Victorville runs about 19 points more Republican than California as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Victorville. The north side runs the most Democratic (D+8) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+8), a spread of about 16 points.
Why Victorville leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Victorville. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Victorville, CA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Victorville looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Victorville is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 36% of households in Victorville rent, above 92% of cities. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 29% of adults in Victorville report food insecurity, above 95% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Adelanto, CA D+8
- Hesperia, CA R+23
- Apple Valley, CA R+26
- Oak Hills, CA R+39
- Oro Grande, CA R+18
- Phelan, CA R+39
- Helendale, CA R+29
- Pinon Hills, CA R+41
- Cedarpines Park, CA R+20
- Lake Arrowhead, CA R+24
Cities with Similar Populations
- Surprise, AZ R+20
- Las Cruces, NM D+5
- Hollywood, FL D+11
- Broken Arrow, OK R+16
- Bellevue, WA D+44
- Rancho Cucamonga, CA Even
- South Bend, IN D+22
- Orange, CA D+6
- Boynton Beach, FL D+16
- Roseville, CA R+5
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.