Opa-Locka leans Democratic by roughly 20 points: about 60% of voters vote Democratic and 40% Republican.
About 48% of adults in Opa-Locka typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Opa-Locka, ~29% vote Democratic, ~19% Republican, and ~52% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Opa-Locka compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Opa-Locka leans more Democratic than 61 of 88 neighbors.
Opa-Locka runs about 32 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while Opa-Locka is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Opa-Locka. The northeast side runs the most Democratic (D+57) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+16), a spread of about 74 points.
Why Opa-Locka leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Opa-Locka, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 95% of residents in Opa-Locka live in densely developed areas, about 59 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 43% of adults in Opa-Locka have never been married, above 95% of cities. Opa-Locka runs against the grain of Florida, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Opa-Locka, FL sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Opa-Locka looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Opa-Locka is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 45%, about 12 points below the Florida average of 56%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 38% of households in Opa-Locka rent, above 93% of cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 76% of adults in Opa-Locka have completed high school, below 95% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Miami Gardens, FL D+50
- Country Club, FL R+22
- Westview, FL D+50
- Miami Lakes, FL R+34
- Golden Glades, FL D+57
- Hialeah, FL R+42
- Miramar, FL D+37
- Pinewood, FL D+58
- West Little River, FL D+25
- North Miami, FL D+41
Cities with Similar Populations
- Poway, CA D+5
- Sherman Oaks, CA D+42
- New Castle, PA R+21
- Aliso Viejo, CA D+11
- Ocoee, FL D+6
- Sicklerville, NJ D+34
- Hammond, LA R+16
- East Lansing, MI D+52
- Yorktown, VA Even
- Jamaica Plain, MA D+71
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.