Catalina Foothills, AZ Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Catalina Foothills

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Catalina Foothills leans Democratic by roughly 20 points: about 60% of voters vote Democratic and 40% Republican.

 

About 86% of adults in Catalina Foothills typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Catalina Foothills, ~52% vote Democratic, ~34% Republican, and ~14% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Catalina Foothills compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Catalina Foothills leans more Democratic than 14 of 18 neighbors.

Catalina Foothills runs about 26 points more Democratic than Arizona as a whole. Arizona leans Republican overall, while Catalina Foothills is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Catalina Foothills. The west side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+31) and the southeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+11), a spread of about 20 points.

Why Catalina Foothills leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Catalina Foothills, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 71% of adults in Catalina Foothills hold a bachelor's degree, about 43 points above the U.S. average of 28%. Dense areas vote Democratic, and Catalina Foothills sits in the top fifth on density (about 83%, above 95% of cities). Catalina Foothills runs against the grain of Arizona, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.

Walkability and Democratic lean

Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Catalina Foothills, AZ sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.

Why turnout in Catalina Foothills looks the way it does

Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Catalina Foothills is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 72%, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 98% of adults in Catalina Foothills have completed high school, above 96% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.