Orange Park Acres, CA Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Orange Park Acres

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Orange Park Acres leans Republican by roughly 28 points: about 36% of voters vote Democratic and 64% Republican.

 

About 33% of adults in Orange Park Acres typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Orange Park Acres, ~12% vote Democratic, ~21% Republican, and ~67% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Orange Park Acres compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Orange Park Acres leans more Republican than 110 of 111 neighbors.

Orange Park Acres runs about 48 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Orange Park Acres is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.

Why Orange Park Acres leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Orange Park Acres, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Orange Park Acres votes against the grain of California. California leans Democratic overall, while Orange Park Acres runs about 48 points more Republican. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 78% of households in Orange Park Acres are family households, above 85% of cities.

Population density and Democratic lean

Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Orange Park Acres, CA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.

Why turnout in Orange Park Acres looks the way it does

Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Orange Park Acres is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 75%, about 15 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.