Orchidlands Estates leans slightly Democratic by roughly 6 points: about 53% of voters vote Democratic and 47% Republican.
About 65% of adults in Orchidlands Estates typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Orchidlands Estates, ~34% vote Democratic, ~31% Republican, and ~35% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Orchidlands Estates compares
Orchidlands Estates runs about 17 points more Republican than Hawaii as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Orchidlands Estates. The northwest side runs the most Democratic (D+18) and the west side runs the most Republican (R+2), a spread of about 21 points.
Why Orchidlands Estates leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Orchidlands Estates. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with homeowner-heavy households tend to turn out at a higher rate; Orchidlands Estates, Keaau, HI sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Orchidlands Estates looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 87% of households in Orchidlands Estates own their home, about 22 points above the Hawaii average of 66%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Hawaiian Acres, Keaau, HI Even
- Downtown Hilo, Hilo, HI D+33
- Kamuela, Waimea, HI D+24
- Holualoa, Kailua-Kona, HI D+21
- Kailua Kona, Kailua-Kona, HI D+18
- Wailea, Kihei, HI D+20
- Pukalani, Makawao, HI D+20
- Napili-Honokowai, Lahaina, HI D+18
- Hawaii Kai, East Honolulu, HI D+24
- Kuliouou-Kalani Iki, East Honolulu, HI D+25
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Ghost Town, Laredo, TX D+8
- Blanco Gardens, San Marcos, TX D+24
- Downtown North Lauderdale, North Lauderdale, FL D+51
- Woodville, North Lauderdale, FL D+51
- West Cloverdale, Boise, ID R+14
- Pheasant Hill, Dayton, OH D+3
- South Ruffner, Charleston, WV D+24
- Downtown Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC D+68
- Denver International Airport, Denver, CO D+45
- Downtown Frederick, Frederick, MD D+56
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Hawaii Office of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Some land-use inputs for Hawaii, including walkability and the environmental-justice index, are estimated rather than measured, so the figures here carry added uncertainty. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.