Hawaii Kai leans Democratic by roughly 24 points: about 62% of voters vote Democratic and 38% Republican.
About 62% of adults in Hawaii Kai typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Hawaii Kai, ~38% vote Democratic, ~24% Republican, and ~38% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Hawaii Kai compares
Politically, Hawaii Kai sits close to the rest of Hawaii.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Hawaii Kai. The southwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+30) and the east side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+19), a spread of about 11 points.
Why Hawaii Kai leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Hawaii Kai, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 60% of adults in Hawaii Kai hold a bachelor's degree, about 32 points above the U.S. average of 28%.
Population density, never-married share, and Democratic lean
Places that combine high population density and a low never-married share tend to lean Democratic, as Hawaii Kai, East Honolulu, HI does.
Why turnout in Hawaii Kai looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Hawaii Kai is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 79%, about 19 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Kuliouou-Kalani Iki, East Honolulu, HI D+25
- Waialae-Kahala, Honolulu, HI D+27
- Palolo, Honolulu, HI D+25
- Kaimuki, Honolulu, HI D+32
- Diamond Head-Kapahulu-St Louis, Honolulu, HI D+36
- Manoa, Honolulu, HI D+44
- Mxcully-Moiliili, Honolulu, HI D+34
- Waikiki, Honolulu, HI D+32
- Makiki, Honolulu, HI D+34
- Nuuanu-Punchbowl, Honolulu, HI D+31
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Bayview, San Francisco, CA D+57
- Mount Airy, Philadelphia, PA D+88
- Douglaston-Little Neck, Queens, NY D+3
- Riverdale, Bronx, NY D+36
- Nevada-Lidgerwood, Spokane, WA D+2
- South Gate, Glen Burnie, MD D+32
- Eagle Ford, Dallas, TX D+47
- Southeast, Raleigh, NC D+65
- South End, Boston, MA D+64
- South Central, Reno, NV D+16
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Hawaii Office of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Some land-use inputs for Hawaii, including walkability and the environmental-justice index, are estimated rather than measured, so the figures here carry added uncertainty. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.