Oxbow leans heavily Republican by roughly 44 points: about 28% of voters vote Democratic and 72% Republican.
About 61% of adults in Oxbow typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Oxbow, ~17% vote Democratic, ~44% Republican, and ~39% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Oxbow compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Oxbow leans more Republican than 58 of 66 neighbors.
Oxbow runs about 57 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Oxbow is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Oxbow leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Oxbow, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Oxbow votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while Oxbow runs about 57 points more Republican. Rural areas vote Republican, and Oxbow sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 5%, below 77% of cities).
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Oxbow, NY sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Oxbow looks the way it does
Turnout in Oxbow sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Wegatchie, NY R+40
- Somerville, NY R+38
- Antwerp, NY R+45
- Rossie, NY R+41
- Redwood, NY R+34
- Spragueville, NY R+44
- Elmdale, NY R+40
- Theresa, NY R+42
- Plessis, NY R+36
- Philadelphia, NY R+40
Cities with Similar Populations
- Pea Ridge, MO R+66
- Bryants Store, KY R+75
- Glover Hill, TN R+63
- La Salle, MN R+43
- Leipsig, WI R+37
- New Willard, TX R+33
- Ricketts, IA R+60
- Anchor, IL R+52
- Forester, MI R+41
- Pooles Crossroad, AL R+47
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.