Palmyra leans heavily Republican by roughly 40 points: about 30% of voters vote Democratic and 70% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Maine did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 71% of adults in Palmyra typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Palmyra, ~21% vote Democratic, ~50% Republican, and ~29% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Palmyra compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Palmyra leans more Republican than 66 of 79 neighbors.
Palmyra runs about 46 points more Republican than Maine as a whole. Maine leans Democratic overall, while Palmyra is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Palmyra leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Palmyra, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Palmyra, about 98% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 26 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 15% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 16 points below the Maine average of 31%. Palmyra runs against the grain of Maine, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Palmyra, ME sits below the national average on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Palmyra looks the way it does
Turnout in Palmyra sits close to the national pattern. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- West Palmyra, ME R+35
- Newport, ME R+26
- Waverley, ME R+32
- Pittsfield, ME R+29
- Detroit, ME R+37
- Hartland, ME R+39
- St. Albans, ME R+38
- North Newport, ME R+42
- East Newport, ME R+34
- Corinna, ME R+41
Cities with Similar Populations
- Masonville, KY R+50
- Berrien Center, MI R+25
- Truesdale, MO R+50
- Turpin, OK R+77
- Melrose, NY R+30
- Marshall, WA R+23
- Bridgehampton, NY D+26
- Newport, NY R+48
- Guy, TX R+57
- Bull Valley, IL R+16
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Maine Secretary of State, Bureau of Corporations Elections and Commissions, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. ME did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.