Paragould, AR Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Paragould

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Paragould is a Republican stronghold. About 22% of voters here vote Democratic and 78% Republican.

 

About 59% of adults in Paragould typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Paragould, ~13% vote Democratic, ~46% Republican, and ~41% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Paragould compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Paragould leans more Republican than 1 of 65 neighbors.

Paragould runs about 25 points more Republican than Arkansas as a whole.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Paragould. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+66) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+47), a spread of about 19 points.

Why Paragould leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Paragould, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Paragould votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 46%, far above the Arkansas average of 13%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.

High-school completion, developed land, and voter turnout

Places that combine low high-school-completion share and a heavily developed built environment tend to turn out at a lower rate, as Paragould, AR does.

Why turnout in Paragould looks the way it does

Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Paragould is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 37% of households in Paragould rent, compared to around 10% in nearby cities. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 20% of adults in Paragould report food insecurity, above 80% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.