Patrick County is a Republican stronghold. About 21% of voters here vote Democratic and 79% Republican.
About 76% of adults in Patrick County typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Patrick County, ~16% vote Democratic, ~60% Republican, and ~24% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Patrick County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Patrick County leans more Republican than 20 of 23 neighbors.
Patrick County runs about 64 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Patrick County is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Patrick County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Patrick County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Patrick County votes against the grain of Virginia. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Patrick County runs about 64 points more Republican. Rural areas vote Republican, and Patrick County sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 11%, below 80% of counties). Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Patrick County sits in the bottom quarter (about 15%, below 89% of counties).
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Patrick County, VA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Patrick County looks the way it does
Turnout in Patrick County sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Floyd County, VA R+47
- Stokes County, NC R+57
- Henry County, VA R+31
- Martinsville City, VA D+22
- Surry County, NC R+52
- Carroll County, VA R+63
- Rockingham County, NC R+31
- Franklin County, VA R+46
- Galax City, VA R+38
- Radford City, VA Even
Counties with Similar Populations
- Seward County, NE R+52
- Hancock County, IL R+45
- Pike County, MO R+55
- Burleson County, TX R+53
- Polk County, TN R+72
- Dickinson County, IA R+34
- Winston County, MS R+10
- Eastland County, TX R+67
- Delaware County, IA R+39
- Lee County, TX R+52
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.