Pauline is a Republican stronghold. About 15% of voters here vote Democratic and 85% Republican.
About 64% of adults in Pauline typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Pauline, ~10% vote Democratic, ~54% Republican, and ~36% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Pauline compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Pauline leans more Republican than 15 of 18 neighbors.
Pauline runs about 33 points more Republican than Idaho as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Pauline. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+71) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+61), a spread of about 10 points.
Why Pauline leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Pauline, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 81% of households in Pauline are family households, about 15 points above the U.S. average of 67%. Rural areas vote Republican, and Pauline sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 2%, below 95% of cities).
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Pauline, ID sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Pauline looks the way it does
Turnout in Pauline sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Arbon, ID R+74
- Hawkins, ID R+67
- McCammon, ID R+64
- Arimo, ID R+64
- Pocatello, ID R+18
- Inkom, ID R+50
- Rockland, ID R+74
- Daniels, ID R+79
- Arbon Valley, ID R+61
Cities with Similar Populations
- Adrian, WA R+49
- Wetmore, OR R+49
- Kirklands Crossroads, AL R+66
- Kinzua, OR R+49
- Intracoastal City, LA R+83
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Idaho Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.