Haiku-Pauwela, HI Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Haiku-Pauwela

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Haiku-Pauwela leans slightly Democratic by roughly 10 points: about 55% of voters vote Democratic and 45% Republican.

 

About 63% of adults in Haiku-Pauwela typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Haiku-Pauwela, ~35% vote Democratic, ~28% Republican, and ~37% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Haiku-Pauwela compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Haiku-Pauwela is the least Democratic-leaning.

Haiku-Pauwela runs about 12 points more Republican than Hawaii as a whole.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Haiku-Pauwela. The northwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+17) and the south side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+6), a spread of about 11 points.

Why Haiku-Pauwela leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Haiku-Pauwela, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 35% of adults in Haiku-Pauwela hold a bachelor's degree, about 7 points above the U.S. average of 28%.

Population density and Democratic lean

Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Haiku-Pauwela, HI sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.

Why turnout in Haiku-Pauwela looks the way it does

Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Haiku-Pauwela is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 69%, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Hawaii Office of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Some land-use inputs for Hawaii, including walkability and the environmental-justice index, are estimated rather than measured, so the figures here carry added uncertainty. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.