Paw Paw is a Republican stronghold. About 19% of voters here vote Democratic and 81% Republican.
About 51% of adults in Paw Paw typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Paw Paw, ~10% vote Democratic, ~41% Republican, and ~49% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Paw Paw compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Paw Paw leans more Republican than 19 of 64 neighbors.
Paw Paw runs about 13 points more Republican than Oklahoma as a whole.
Why Paw Paw leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Paw Paw, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 91% of residents in Paw Paw drive to work alone, about 17 points above the U.S. average of 74%.
Food insecurity and voter turnout
Places with high food insecurity tend to turn out at a lower rate; Paw Paw, OK sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Food insecurity does not directly drive turnout; it reflects economic hardship, which lines up with lower voting.
Why turnout in Paw Paw looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Paw Paw is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 24% of adults in Paw Paw report food insecurity, above 88% of cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 82% of adults in Paw Paw have completed high school, below 87% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Redland, OK R+65
- Roland, OK R+52
- Muldrow, OK R+62
- Moffett, OK R+48
- Fort Coffee, OK R+25
- Arkoma, OK R+65
- Maple, OK R+67
- Gans, OK R+68
- Pocola, OK R+67
- Spiro, OK R+51
Cities with Similar Populations
- Sparksville, IN R+67
- Lunsford, AR R+68
- Yellow House, PA R+27
- Henlopen Acres, DE D+22
- Henshaw, KY R+64
- Vigil, CO R+30
- Orkney Springs, VA R+33
- Bryan, PA R+62
- Manzano, NM R+32
- Maple Grove, MI R+21
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Oklahoma State Election Board, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.