Penitas leans slightly Republican by roughly 8 points: about 46% of voters vote Democratic and 54% Republican.
About 37% of adults in Penitas typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Penitas, ~17% vote Democratic, ~20% Republican, and ~63% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Penitas compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Penitas leans more Republican than 21 of 37 neighbors.
Penitas runs about 6 points more Democratic than Texas as a whole.
Why Penitas leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Penitas, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 9% of adults in Penitas hold a bachelor's degree, about 17 points below the Texas average of 26%. Dense places usually vote Democratic, but Penitas runs against that pattern. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 93% of households in Penitas are family households, in the top fraction of cities.
High-school completion, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine low high-school-completion share and a heavily developed built environment tend to turn out at a lower rate, as Penitas, TX does.
Why turnout in Penitas looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Penitas is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 36%, about 18 points below the Texas average of 54%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 50% of adults in Penitas have completed high school, in the bottom fraction of cities. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and Penitas sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- La Joya, TX R+2
- Palmview, TX R+3
- Abram, TX R+6
- Palmview South, TX R+5
- Mission, TX R+4
- Sullivan City, TX R+7
- Alton, TX R+3
- Madero, TX R+16
- Palmhurst, TX R+9
- San Manuel-Linn, TX R+13
Cities with Similar Populations
- Crossett, AR R+32
- Southampton, NY D+14
- Salisbury, MA D+2
- Export, PA R+21
- Marlboro Village, MD D+85
- Opp, AL R+61
- Olivette, MO D+53
- Eden, NY R+25
- West Long Branch, NJ R+28
- Piedmont, AL R+71
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.