Philmont leans slightly Republican by roughly 6 points: about 47% of voters vote Democratic and 53% Republican.
About 84% of adults in Philmont typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Philmont, ~40% vote Democratic, ~45% Republican, and ~15% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Philmont compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Philmont leans more Republican than 82 of 124 neighbors.
Philmont runs about 19 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Philmont is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Philmont leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Philmont, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 86% of residents in Philmont drive to work alone, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 74%. Philmont runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Philmont, NY sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Philmont looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Philmont is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 67%, about 7 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Mellenville, NY R+10
- West Copake, NY D+15
- Ghent, NY D+9
- Claverack, NY R+5
- Stottville, NY R+10
- Craryville, NY D+10
- Hudson, NY D+19
- North Hillsdale, NY D+37
- Hillsdale, NY D+28
- Lorenz Park, NY Even
Cities with Similar Populations
- Fort Montgomery, NY R+12
- One Hundred Palms, CA D+19
- Tyndall, SD R+57
- Granite Springs, NY R+6
- Egg Harbor, WI D+4
- Lake Park, IA R+50
- Penn Laird, VA R+29
- Earlton, NY R+30
- Broaddus, TX R+80
- Le Roy, MN R+35
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.