Pineville is a Republican stronghold. About 16% of voters here vote Democratic and 84% Republican.
About 58% of adults in Pineville typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Pineville, ~9% vote Democratic, ~49% Republican, and ~42% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Pineville compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Pineville leans more Republican than 10 of 108 neighbors.
Pineville runs about 38 points more Republican than Kentucky as a whole.
Why Pineville leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Pineville, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Pineville, about 94% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 22 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 18% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 11 points below the U.S. average of 28%.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with renter-heavy households tend to turn out at a lower rate; Pineville, KY sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Pineville looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Pineville is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 48%, about 6 points below the Kentucky average of 54%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 49% of households in Pineville rent, about 24 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 80% of adults in Pineville have completed high school, below 91% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Wasioto, KY R+76
- East Pineville, KY R+71
- Fourmile, KY R+74
- Clear Creek Springs, KY R+78
- Cary, KY R+73
- Varilla, KY R+72
- Arjay, KY R+73
- Trosper, KY R+76
- Calvin, KY R+76
Cities with Similar Populations
- Spencerville, IN R+60
- Waynesville, GA R+72
- Merton, WI R+32
- Manti, UT R+63
- Charleston Afb, SC D+11
- Fairfax, VT R+17
- Yountville, CA D+32
- Remington, VA R+23
- Milton, NY R+8
- Eupora, MS R+31
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Kentucky State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.