Arjay is a Republican stronghold. About 13% of voters here vote Democratic and 87% Republican.
About 58% of adults in Arjay typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Arjay, ~8% vote Democratic, ~50% Republican, and ~42% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Arjay compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Arjay leans more Republican than 28 of 112 neighbors.
Arjay runs about 43 points more Republican than Kentucky as a whole.
Why Arjay leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Arjay, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Arjay, more than 99% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 28 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 3% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 16 points below the Kentucky average of 19%.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Arjay, KY sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Arjay looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Arjay is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 47%, about 7 points below the Kentucky average of 54%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 31% of households in Arjay rent, above 86% of cities. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and Arjay sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Cary, KY R+73
- Rella, KY R+74
- Kettle Island, KY R+76
- Calvin, KY R+76
- Pineville, KY R+68
- Callaway, KY R+78
- Varilla, KY R+72
- Wasioto, KY R+76
- East Pineville, KY R+71
Cities with Similar Populations
- Fourmile Hill, AR R+58
- Sparks, NE R+78
- Pennine, TN R+70
- Flitners Corner, WY R+75
- Golden Corners, OH R+59
- New Hampden, VA R+44
- Fishhook, IL R+62
- Mc Leod, MT R+53
- Gonce, AL R+73
- Welchs, VA R+15
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Kentucky State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.