Pioneer leans Republican by roughly 28 points: about 36% of voters vote Democratic and 64% Republican.
About 82% of adults in Pioneer typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Pioneer, ~30% vote Democratic, ~52% Republican, and ~18% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Pioneer compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Pioneer leans more Republican than 20 of 46 neighbors.
Pioneer runs about 48 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Pioneer is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Pioneer leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Pioneer, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Pioneer votes against the grain of California. California leans Democratic overall, while Pioneer runs about 48 points more Republican.
High-school completion, uninsured rate, and voter turnout
Places that combine high-school-completion-heavy adults and a low uninsured rate tend to turn out at a higher rate, as Pioneer, CA does.
Why turnout in Pioneer looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Pioneer is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 67%, about 7 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Kit Carson, CA R+28
- West Point, CA R+25
- Volcano, CA R+30
- Wilseyville, CA R+26
- Pine Grove, CA R+29
- Glencoe, CA R+27
- Rail Road Flat, CA R+30
- Omo Ranch, CA R+29
- Fiddletown, CA R+29
- Mount Aukum, CA R+30
Cities with Similar Populations
- Bolivar, OH R+48
- Sauk City, WI R+9
- Winthrop, ME R+4
- Swoyersville, PA R+18
- Thomasville, AL R+8
- Littleton, NC R+10
- Carnesville, GA R+74
- Oak Hill, TN R+10
- Bronson, MI R+45
- Wilsons Mills, NC R+9
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.