Winthrop is a true toss-up. About 48% of voters here vote Democratic and 52% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Maine did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 90% of adults in Winthrop typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Winthrop, ~43% vote Democratic, ~47% Republican, and ~10% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Winthrop compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Winthrop leans more Republican than 18 of 91 neighbors.
Winthrop runs about 11 points more Republican than Maine as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Winthrop. The southeast side runs the most Democratic (Even) and the northwest side runs the most Republican (R+10), a spread of about 11 points.
Why Winthrop leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Winthrop. None of them point strongly toward either party.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Winthrop, ME sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Winthrop looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Winthrop is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 68%, about 8 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 91% of households in Winthrop own their home, about 16 points above the U.S. average of 75%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 97% of adults in Winthrop have completed high school, above 89% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- East Winthrop, ME R+8
- North Monmouth, ME R+13
- Manchester, ME R+4
- Readfield, ME R+4
- Wayne, ME D+7
- Monmouth, ME R+21
- Spears Corner, ME R+33
- Leeds Junction, ME R+38
- Hallowell, ME D+41
- Leeds, ME R+37
Cities with Similar Populations
- Thomasville, AL R+8
- Oak Hill, TN R+10
- Wilsons Mills, NC R+9
- Pioneer, CA R+28
- Bolivar, OH R+48
- Sauk City, WI R+9
- Littleton, NC R+10
- Byesville, OH R+52
- Duncanville, AL R+59
- Swoyersville, PA R+18
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Maine Secretary of State, Bureau of Corporations Elections and Commissions, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. ME did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.