Plum Run is a Republican stronghold. About 13% of voters here vote Democratic and 87% Republican.
About 82% of adults in Plum Run typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Plum Run, ~11% vote Democratic, ~71% Republican, and ~18% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Plum Run compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Plum Run leans more Republican than 67 of 76 neighbors.
Plum Run runs about 73 points more Republican than Pennsylvania as a whole.
Why Plum Run leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Plum Run, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Plum Run, about 96% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 24 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 17% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 9 points below the Pennsylvania average of 26%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 77% of households in Plum Run are family households, above 82% of cities.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Plum Run, PA sits above the national average on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Plum Run looks the way it does
Turnout in Plum Run sits close to the national pattern. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Hancock, MD R+57
- Park Head, MD R+63
- Needmore, PA R+74
- Big Cove Tannery, PA R+71
- Myersdale, MD R+64
- Dott, PA R+72
- Warfordsburg, PA R+72
- Sylvan, PA R+67
- Indian Springs, MD R+64
- Stohrs Crossroads, WV R+61
Cities with Similar Populations
- Elsinore, KY R+41
- Roscoe, SD R+64
- Welcome, WA R+4
- Clifdale, VA R+65
- East Sheldon, VT R+44
- Waumandee, WI R+37
- Tazewell, GA R+62
- Nelsonville, WI R+19
- McNairy, TN R+77
- Mechanics Grove, PA R+58
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Pennsylvania Department of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.