Poquoson, VA Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Poquoson

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Poquoson leans heavily Republican by roughly 38 points: about 31% of voters vote Democratic and 69% Republican.

 

About more than 99% of adults in Poquoson typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Poquoson, ~33% vote Democratic, ~73% Republican, and ~-6% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Poquoson compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Poquoson leans more Republican than 37 of 48 neighbors.

Poquoson runs about 44 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Poquoson is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Poquoson. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+48) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+33), a spread of about 15 points.

Why Poquoson leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Poquoson, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Poquoson votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 49%, well above the Virginia average of 26%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 80% of households in Poquoson are family households, above 90% of cities. Poquoson runs against the grain of Virginia, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.

Cancer-screening access and voter turnout

Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Poquoson, VA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.

Why turnout in Poquoson looks the way it does

Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Poquoson is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 74%, about 14 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 97% of adults in Poquoson have completed high school, above 92% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.