Provencal is a Republican stronghold. About 9% of voters here vote Democratic and 91% Republican.
About 77% of adults in Provencal typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Provencal, ~7% vote Democratic, ~70% Republican, and ~23% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Provencal compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Provencal leans more Republican than 37 of 46 neighbors.
Provencal runs about 61 points more Republican than Louisiana as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Provencal. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+91) and the southeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+69), a spread of about 22 points.
Why Provencal leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Provencal, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 94% of residents in Provencal drive to work alone, about 21 points above the U.S. average of 74%.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Provencal, LA sits below the national average on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Provencal looks the way it does
Turnout in Provencal sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Flora, LA R+79
- Cypress, LA R+35
- Natchez, LA R+6
- Derry, LA R+48
- Melrose, LA R+54
- Vowells Mill, LA R+89
- Kisatchie, LA R+86
- Hagewood, LA R+69
- Cloutierville, LA R+52
- Natchitoches, LA D+10
Cities with Similar Populations
- Small, TX R+80
- Mecca, OH R+51
- Mannsville, NY R+43
- Grant Town, WV R+54
- Check, VA R+45
- Yolo, CA R+16
- Brooker, FL R+65
- Lempster, NH R+25
- Sandstone, MI R+26
- Deer Lodge, TN R+74
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Louisiana Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.