Natchitoches leans slightly Democratic by roughly 10 points: about 55% of voters vote Democratic and 45% Republican.
About 56% of adults in Natchitoches typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Natchitoches, ~31% vote Democratic, ~25% Republican, and ~44% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Natchitoches compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Natchitoches leans more Democratic than 42 of 44 neighbors.
Natchitoches runs about 32 points more Democratic than Louisiana as a whole. Louisiana leans Republican overall, while Natchitoches is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Natchitoches. The north side runs the most Democratic (D+52) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+31), a spread of about 83 points.
Why Natchitoches leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Natchitoches, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Density combined with diversity predicts Democratic voting. Non-Hispanic white share in Natchitoches is about 43%, about 30 points below the U.S. average of 72%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 50% of adults in Natchitoches have never been married, above 98% of cities. Natchitoches runs against the grain of Louisiana, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Natchitoches, LA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Natchitoches looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 49% of households in Natchitoches rent, about 24 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 31% of adults in Natchitoches report food insecurity, above 96% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Natchez, LA R+6
- Irma, LA R+25
- Hagewood, LA R+69
- Clarence, LA R+45
- St. Maurice, LA R+41
- Powhatan, LA R+52
- Flora, LA R+79
- Campti, LA R+27
- Cypress, LA R+35
- Kadesh, LA R+63
Cities with Similar Populations
- Dayton, TX R+54
- Scotch Plains, NJ D+23
- Harrison, AR R+53
- West Memphis, AR D+44
- Piqua, OH R+43
- Defiance, OH R+35
- Abingdon, VA R+41
- Wilmington, MA Even
- Canton, MA D+26
- Manvel, TX D+5
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Louisiana Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.