Providence, AR Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Providence

Providence is a Republican stronghold. About 13% of voters here vote Democratic and 87% Republican.

 
Providence, AR block-group political-lean map
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About 69% of adults in Providence typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Providence, ~9% vote Democratic, ~60% Republican, and ~31% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

Providence, AR block-group voter-turnout map
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How Providence compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Providence leans more Republican than 61 of 65 neighbors.

Providence runs about 44 points more Republican than Arkansas as a whole.

Why Providence leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Providence, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 87% of residents in Providence drive to work alone, about 13 points above the U.S. average of 74%. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Providence sits in the bottom quarter (about 8%, below 95% of cities). A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 82% of households in Providence are family households, above 94% of cities.

Walkability and Republican lean

Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Providence, AR sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.

Why turnout in Providence looks the way it does

Turnout in Providence sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.