Raynesford is a Republican stronghold. About 21% of voters here vote Democratic and 79% Republican.
About 78% of adults in Raynesford typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Raynesford, ~16% vote Democratic, ~61% Republican, and ~23% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Raynesford compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Raynesford leans more Republican than 8 of 9 neighbors.
Raynesford runs about 39 points more Republican than Montana as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Raynesford. The north side is the most Republican-leaning (R+64) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+50), a spread of about 13 points.
Why Raynesford leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Raynesford, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 2% of residents in Raynesford live in densely developed areas, about 11 points below the Montana average of 13%.
Developed land and Republican lean
Places with a rural land-use pattern tend to lean Republican; Raynesford, MT sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Developed land does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Raynesford looks the way it does
Turnout in Raynesford sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Geyser, MT R+63
- Belt, MT R+52
- Wayne, MT R+50
- Monarch, MT R+50
- Stockett, MT R+56
- Sand Coulee, MT R+55
- Shonkin, MT R+51
- Highwood, MT R+51
- Tracy, MT R+54
- Stanford, MT R+63
Cities with Similar Populations
- Stringtown, IA R+55
- Neuchatel, KS R+67
- Lillydale, WV R+58
- Enchanted Hills, IN R+55
- Fostoria, KS R+55
- Sycamore, WV R+62
- Helmville, MT R+57
- Decatur, IA R+47
- Lakeview Manor, TN R+70
- Parris Island, SC D+66
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Montana Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.