Rogers leans slightly Republican by roughly 14 points: about 43% of voters vote Democratic and 57% Republican.
About 53% of adults in Rogers typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Rogers, ~23% vote Democratic, ~30% Republican, and ~47% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Rogers compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Rogers leans more Republican than 5 of 56 neighbors.
Rogers runs about 16 points more Democratic than Arkansas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Rogers. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+35) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+5), a spread of about 30 points.
Why Rogers leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Rogers, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rogers votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 68%, far above the Arkansas average of 13%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Rogers, AR sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Rogers looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Rogers is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 37% of households in Rogers rent, above 93% of cities. Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout, and about 6% of homes in Rogers have more than one occupant per room, above 91% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Little Flock, AR R+30
- Lowell, AR R+27
- Bentonville, AR R+14
- Cave Springs, AR R+29
- Avoca, AR R+46
- Bethel Heights, AR R+20
- Clifty, AR R+49
- Centerton, AR R+31
- Pea Ridge, AR R+54
- Elm Springs, AR R+41
Cities with Similar Populations
- Valparaiso, IN R+10
- Chino Hills, CA R+4
- Monroe, LA D+24
- Pharr, TX Even
- Palm Harbor, FL R+18
- Mechanicsburg, PA R+3
- South Jordan, UT R+14
- Porterville, CA R+9
- Bellflower, CA D+28
- Jackson, TN D+8
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.