Centerton leans heavily Republican by roughly 32 points: about 34% of voters vote Democratic and 66% Republican.
About 46% of adults in Centerton typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Centerton, ~16% vote Democratic, ~30% Republican, and ~54% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Centerton compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Centerton leans more Republican than 14 of 59 neighbors.
Politically, Centerton sits close to the rest of Arkansas.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Centerton. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+47) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+20), a spread of about 28 points.
Why Centerton leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Centerton, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Centerton votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 47%, far above the Arkansas average of 13%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 77% of households in Centerton are family households, above 83% of cities.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Centerton, AR sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Centerton looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 31% of households in Centerton rent, about 6 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Bentonville, AR R+14
- Hiwasse, AR R+52
- Highfill, AR R+52
- Bella Vista, AR R+29
- Cave Springs, AR R+29
- Little Flock, AR R+30
- Healing Springs, AR R+62
- Rogers, AR R+14
- Gravette, AR R+60
Cities with Similar Populations
- Pikeville, KY R+49
- Nevada City, CA D+24
- Union, MO R+44
- Rockmart, GA R+52
- Florence, MS R+61
- San Carlos Park, FL R+22
- Alpena, MI R+16
- Berea, OH D+12
- Palos Hills, IL R+11
- Avenel, NJ D+21
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.