Royal Lakes leans slightly Democratic by roughly 14 points: about 57% of voters vote Democratic and 43% Republican.
About 49% of adults in Royal Lakes typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Royal Lakes, ~28% vote Democratic, ~21% Republican, and ~51% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Royal Lakes compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Royal Lakes leans more Democratic than 15 of 18 neighbors.
Royal Lakes runs about 26 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while Royal Lakes is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Royal Lakes. The north side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+21) and the west side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+7), a spread of about 14 points.
Why Royal Lakes leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Royal Lakes, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many never-married adults vote Democratic. About 53% of adults in Royal Lakes have never been married, about 23 points above the U.S. average of 29%. Royal Lakes runs against the grain of Florida, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Royal Lakes, Jacksonville, FL sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Royal Lakes looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 83% of households in Royal Lakes rent, about 58 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Baymeadows, Jacksonville, FL D+14
- Deerwood, Jacksonville, FL R+8
- Craven, Jacksonville, FL R+3
- Deercreek, Jacksonville, FL R+16
- Brierwood, Jacksonville, FL R+11
- Sunbeam, Jacksonville, FL R+11
- Mandarin Station-Losco, Jacksonville, FL R+24
- Secret Cove, Jacksonville, FL D+13
- Goodby's Creek, Jacksonville, FL R+8
- Southpoint, Jacksonville, FL R+8
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Csus, Sacramento, CA D+55
- Rolling Hills, Jacksonville, FL R+20
- Friendly Acres, Redwood City, CA D+47
- Grayson Hill, Tuckahoe, VA D+20
- South Addition, Anchorage, AK D+41
- Western Michigan University-KRPH, Kalamazoo, MI D+51
- O Hair Park, Detroit, MI D+87
- Washington Village, Baltimore, MD D+75
- Westlake Village, Westlake Village, CA D+10
- Bayshore, Wilmington, NC R+11
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.