San Patricio leans heavily Republican by roughly 46 points: about 27% of voters vote Democratic and 73% Republican.
About 54% of adults in San Patricio typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in San Patricio, ~15% vote Democratic, ~39% Republican, and ~46% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How San Patricio compares
Among cities within 25 miles, San Patricio leans more Republican than 7 of 13 neighbors.
San Patricio runs about 52 points more Republican than New Mexico as a whole. New Mexico leans Democratic overall, while San Patricio is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why San Patricio leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for San Patricio, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
San Patricio votes against the grain of New Mexico. New Mexico leans Democratic overall, while San Patricio runs about 52 points more Republican. Rural areas vote Republican, and San Patricio sits in the bottom quarter on density (fewer than 1%, in the bottom fraction of cities).
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; San Patricio, NM sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in San Patricio looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. San Patricio is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 23% of adults in San Patricio report food insecurity, above 88% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Hondo, NM R+46
- Lincoln, NM R+50
- Glencoe, NM R+42
- Fort Stanton, NM R+41
- Ruidoso Downs, NM R+24
- Alto, NM R+26
- Capitan, NM R+53
- Ruidoso, NM R+16
- Picacho, NM R+51
- Sierra Vista, NM R+22
Cities with Similar Populations
- Adamsville, PA R+57
- Killmaster, MI R+48
- Johnstonville, GA R+25
- Stephens, VA R+69
- La Grange, TN R+2
- Stephenson, WV R+71
- Kaupo, HI D+36
- Conconully, WA R+46
- Copperton, UT R+33
- Chita, TX R+69
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Mexico Secretary of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.