Santa Cruz Southwest leans heavily Democratic by roughly 32 points: about 66% of voters vote Democratic and 34% Republican.
About 48% of adults in Santa Cruz Southwest typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Santa Cruz Southwest, ~32% vote Democratic, ~16% Republican, and ~52% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Santa Cruz Southwest compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Santa Cruz Southwest leans more Democratic than 1 of 16 neighbors.
Santa Cruz Southwest runs about 37 points more Democratic than Arizona as a whole. Arizona leans Republican overall, while Santa Cruz Southwest is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Santa Cruz Southwest. The east side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+38) and the west side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+21), a spread of about 17 points.
Why Santa Cruz Southwest leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Santa Cruz Southwest, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Santa Cruz Southwest votes against the grain of Arizona. Arizona leans Republican overall, while Santa Cruz Southwest runs about 37 points more Democratic.
High-school completion, uninsured rate, and voter turnout
Places that combine low high-school-completion share and a high uninsured rate tend to turn out at a lower rate, as Santa Cruz Southwest, Tucson, AZ does.
Why turnout in Santa Cruz Southwest looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Santa Cruz Southwest is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 43%, about 11 points below the Arizona average of 54%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 33% of adults in Santa Cruz Southwest report food insecurity, above 86% of neighborhoods. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 73% of adults in Santa Cruz Southwest have completed high school, below 92% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Westside Development, Tucson, AZ D+27
- Wakefield, Tucson, AZ D+43
- Midvale Park, Tucson, AZ D+35
- Menlo Park, Tucson, AZ D+46
- Tucson Park West, Tucson, AZ D+37
- Sunnyside, Tucson, AZ D+40
- South Park, Tucson, AZ D+38
- Bravo Park Lane, Tucson, AZ D+36
- Armory Park, Tucson, AZ D+59
- Cherry Avenue, Tucson, AZ D+33
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Lynwood Hills, Chula Vista, CA D+16
- Skies West, Albuquerque, NM D+8
- Downtown Fremont, Fremont, CA D+37
- Stockade District, Kingston, NY D+47
- Government Hill Alliance, San Antonio, TX D+42
- Columbia, Redding, CA R+35
- Mount Vernon, Baltimore, MD D+80
- Downtown Oakland, Oakland, CA D+66
- Oakdale Farms, Norfolk, VA D+28
- McGirts Creek, Jacksonville, FL D+19
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.