Wakefield leans heavily Democratic by roughly 44 points: about 72% of voters vote Democratic and 28% Republican.
About 40% of adults in Wakefield typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Wakefield, ~29% vote Democratic, ~11% Republican, and ~60% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Wakefield compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Wakefield leans more Democratic than 11 of 18 neighbors.
Wakefield runs about 49 points more Democratic than Arizona as a whole. Arizona leans Republican overall, while Wakefield is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Why Wakefield leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Wakefield, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in Wakefield live in densely developed areas, about 64 points above the U.S. average of 36%. Wakefield runs against the grain of Arizona, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Wakefield, Tucson, AZ sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Wakefield looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Wakefield is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 39%, about 15 points below the Arizona average of 54%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 37% of adults in Wakefield report food insecurity, above 91% of neighborhoods. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and Wakefield sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Bravo Park Lane, Tucson, AZ D+36
- Santa Cruz Southwest, Tucson, AZ D+32
- South Park, Tucson, AZ D+38
- Sunnyside, Tucson, AZ D+40
- Cherry Avenue, Tucson, AZ D+33
- Las Vistas, Tucson, AZ D+44
- Midvale Park, Tucson, AZ D+35
- Westside Development, Tucson, AZ D+27
- Rancho Buena, Tucson, AZ D+32
- Armory Park, Tucson, AZ D+59
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Junior College Neighborhood Assc., Santa Rosa, CA D+62
- Eastern Hills, Dayton, OH R+9
- West Gate, Toledo, OH D+34
- Grandale, Detroit, MI D+86
- Daybreak, South Jordan, UT Even
- North Country Meadows, Oildale, CA R+42
- Pulaski, Detroit, MI D+86
- City Center North, Aurora, CO D+45
- Shadow Hills, Sunland, CA R+6
- North Shoal Creek, Austin, TX D+51
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.