Scotch Hill is a Republican stronghold. About 21% of voters here vote Democratic and 79% Republican.
About 84% of adults in Scotch Hill typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Scotch Hill, ~18% vote Democratic, ~66% Republican, and ~16% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Scotch Hill compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Scotch Hill leans more Republican than 49 of 107 neighbors.
Scotch Hill runs about 55 points more Republican than Pennsylvania as a whole.
Why Scotch Hill leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Scotch Hill, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 4% of residents in Scotch Hill live in densely developed areas, about 29 points below the Pennsylvania average of 33%.
Population density, never-married share, and Republican lean
Places that combine low population density and a never-married-heavy adult population tend to lean Republican, as Scotch Hill, PA does.
Why turnout in Scotch Hill looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 96% of households in Scotch Hill own their home, about 17 points above the Pennsylvania average of 79%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Leeper, PA R+56
- Cooksburg, PA R+57
- Lucinda, PA R+53
- Tylersburg, PA R+60
- Vowinckel, PA R+53
- Miola, PA R+53
- Lickingville, PA R+61
- Clarington, PA R+56
Cities with Similar Populations
- Havelock, IA R+49
- Deemer, MS R+68
- Richfield, CO R+31
- Hurdtown, NJ R+21
- Thomaston, TX R+70
- Clarita, OK R+73
- Bridge, OR R+29
- Teakean, ID R+64
- Newport, FL R+35
- Dayton Lakes, TX R+79
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Pennsylvania Department of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.