Scotland leans heavily Republican by roughly 38 points: about 31% of voters vote Democratic and 69% Republican.
About 88% of adults in Scotland typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Scotland, ~27% vote Democratic, ~61% Republican, and ~12% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Scotland compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Scotland leans more Republican than 16 of 119 neighbors.
Scotland runs about 35 points more Republican than Pennsylvania as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Scotland. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+44) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+29), a spread of about 15 points.
Why Scotland leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Scotland, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Scotland votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 32%, above 81% of cities). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Scotland, PA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Scotland looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Scotland is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 68%, about 8 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Pinola, PA R+51
- Chambersburg, PA R+26
- Cold Spring, PA R+47
- Mainsville, PA R+58
- Pleasant Hall, PA R+68
- Shippensburg, PA R+31
- Shippensburg University, PA D+14
- Fayetteville, PA R+40
- Orrstown, PA R+65
- Cleversburg, PA R+55
Cities with Similar Populations
- Pittsburg, MI R+34
- Avon, SD R+57
- South Montrose, PA R+48
- Landfall, MN D+11
- Gardiner, MT R+6
- Gratz, PA R+66
- Caspian, MI R+28
- Leawood, MO R+43
- Toney Creek, SC R+72
- Nortonville, KS R+55
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Pennsylvania Department of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.