Seminole is a Republican stronghold. About 14% of voters here vote Democratic and 86% Republican.
About 58% of adults in Seminole typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Seminole, ~8% vote Democratic, ~50% Republican, and ~42% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Seminole compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Seminole leans more Republican than 2 of 6 neighbors.
Seminole runs about 58 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Seminole. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+89) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+59), a spread of about 31 points.
Why Seminole leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Seminole, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 12% of adults in Seminole hold a bachelor's degree, about 14 points below the Texas average of 26%. Dense places usually vote Democratic, but Seminole runs against that pattern. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 78% of households in Seminole are family households, above 84% of cities.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Seminole, TX sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Seminole looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Seminole is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 47%, about 6 points below the Texas average of 54%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Florey, TX R+84
- Seagraves, TX R+56
- Loop, TX R+80
- Denver City, TX R+57
- Higginbotham, TX R+81
- Sand, TX R+82
- Nadine, NM R+56
- Wellman, TX R+81
- Hobbs, NM R+43
- North Hobbs, NM R+66
Cities with Similar Populations
- Lewisville, NC R+17
- Rio Linda, CA R+16
- Camby, IN R+25
- Hewitt, TX R+26
- Labelle, FL R+41
- Verdigris, OK R+49
- Haddonfield, NJ D+41
- Carmel, NY R+13
- Brevard, NC R+4
- Stallings, NC R+18
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.