Hobbs leans heavily Republican by roughly 44 points: about 28% of voters vote Democratic and 72% Republican.
About 52% of adults in Hobbs typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Hobbs, ~15% vote Democratic, ~37% Republican, and ~48% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Hobbs compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Hobbs is the least Republican-leaning.
Hobbs runs about 49 points more Republican than New Mexico as a whole. New Mexico leans Democratic overall, while Hobbs is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Hobbs. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+65) and the southeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+9), a spread of about 56 points.
Why Hobbs leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Hobbs, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Hobbs votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 70%, far above the New Mexico average of 18%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. Hobbs runs against the grain of New Mexico, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
High-school completion, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine low high-school-completion share and a heavily developed built environment tend to turn out at a lower rate, as Hobbs, NM does.
Why turnout in Hobbs looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Hobbs is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The uninsured rate here is about 22%, about 6 points above the New Mexico average of 16%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 32% of households in Hobbs rent, above 87% of cities. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 27% of adults in Hobbs report food insecurity, above 93% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- North Hobbs, NM R+66
- Nadine, NM R+56
- Humble City, NM R+72
- Monument, NM R+76
- Higginbotham, TX R+81
- Eunice, NM R+61
- Lovington, NM R+51
- Prairieview, NM R+76
- Hillburn City, NM R+74
Cities with Similar Populations
- Clovis, NM R+31
- Elmwood Park, IL D+19
- Buda, TX Even
- Parkville, MD D+39
- Laurel, MD D+58
- Golden, CO D+29
- Belleville, MI D+11
- Bear, DE D+32
- Essex, MD D+10
- North Atlanta, GA D+38
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Mexico Secretary of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.