Shaw Mills leans slightly Republican by roughly 12 points: about 44% of voters vote Democratic and 56% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Maine did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 81% of adults in Shaw Mills typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Shaw Mills, ~36% vote Democratic, ~45% Republican, and ~19% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Shaw Mills compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Shaw Mills leans more Republican than 43 of 92 neighbors.
Shaw Mills runs about 20 points more Republican than Maine as a whole. Maine leans Democratic overall, while Shaw Mills is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Shaw Mills. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+17) and the northwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+4), a spread of about 13 points.
Why Shaw Mills leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Shaw Mills, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 75% of households in Shaw Mills are family households, about 8 points above the U.S. average of 67%. Shaw Mills runs against the grain of Maine, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Food insecurity and voter turnout
Places with low food insecurity tend to turn out at a higher rate; Shaw Mills, ME sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Food insecurity does not directly drive turnout; it reflects economic hardship, which lines up with lower voting.
Why turnout in Shaw Mills looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Shaw Mills is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 69%, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Standish, ME R+9
- Buxton Center, ME R+26
- Gorham, ME D+4
- Steep Falls, ME R+21
- West Buxton, ME R+20
- Windham, ME D+5
- Buxton, ME R+15
- Limington, ME R+39
- Westbrook, ME D+17
- West Hollis, ME R+29
Cities with Similar Populations
- Verna, FL R+58
- Deer Park, CA D+30
- Kerr Hill, MI R+38
- Vaughan, MS R+16
- Kelawea, HI D+15
- Shongopovi, AZ D+61
- Ogden, OH R+55
- Zip City, AL R+75
- Shines Crossroads, NC R+34
- Highgrove, KY R+60
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Maine Secretary of State, Bureau of Corporations Elections and Commissions, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. ME did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.